2026 · Canonical snapshots
JT POLL ARCHIVE
How JT's view of college football changed week by week.
Selected archive
Snapshot Entering Week 4
First snapshot
Live JT archive begins Week 4. Earlier reconstructed snapshots are not yet available.
Archived national board
Top 25
Rankings and team profiles are preserved from this canonical weekly publication. Movement reflects JT rank only.
AP Poll · Week 4
AP #7
JT +6 vs AP
Offense
- Success rate
- 50.4%
- Early-down success
- 52.1%
- Third-down success
- 37.8%
- Yards/play
- 7.98
- Explosive pass rate
- 17.3%
- Explosive rush rate
- 12.0%
- Sack allowed rate
- 4.8%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 30.3%
- Early-down success allowed
- 29.1%
- Third-down success allowed
- 34.2%
- Yards/play allowed
- 3.36
- Explosive pass allowed
- 3.4%
- Explosive rush allowed
- 7.3%
- Sack generated
- 4.1%
Style
- Pass rate
- 50.7%
- Early-down pass rate
- 48.4%
- Plays/drive
- 5.48
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 31.90
- Market Power
- 31.37
- Model Adjustment
- +0.53
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
AP Poll · Week 4
AP #5
JT +3 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 51.6%
- Early-down success
- 51.1%
- Third-down success
- 48.5%
- Yards/play
- 8.03
- Explosive pass rate
- 24.8%
- Explosive rush rate
- 17.3%
- Sack allowed rate
- 6.2%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 28.8%
- Early-down success allowed
- 28.2%
- Third-down success allowed
- 31.6%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 4
AP #1
JT -2 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 48.6%
- Early-down success
- 45.8%
- Third-down success
- 56.9%
- Yards/play
- 5.53
- Explosive pass rate
- 5.8%
- Explosive rush rate
- 14.0%
- Sack allowed rate
- 3.6%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 36.2%
- Early-down success allowed
- 36.8%
- Third-down success allowed
- 36.4%
- Yards/play allowed
Notre DameFBS Independents
AP Poll · Week 4
AP #3
JT -1 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 50.2%
- Early-down success
- 51.3%
- Third-down success
- 41.7%
- Yards/play
- 6.33
- Explosive pass rate
- 17.2%
- Explosive rush rate
- 8.7%
- Sack allowed rate
- 2.4%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 32.1%
- Early-down success allowed
- 29.9%
- Third-down success allowed
- 30.5%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 4
AP #2
JT -3 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 57.8%
- Early-down success
- 56.6%
- Third-down success
- 62.9%
- Yards/play
- 8.65
- Explosive pass rate
- 16.6%
- Explosive rush rate
- 23.8%
- Sack allowed rate
- 4.2%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 33.2%
- Early-down success allowed
- 31.1%
- Third-down success allowed
- 40.7%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 4
AP #20
JT +14 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 46.6%
- Early-down success
- 47.5%
- Third-down success
- 49.2%
- Yards/play
- 6.83
- Explosive pass rate
- 16.0%
- Explosive rush rate
- 14.9%
- Sack allowed rate
- 6.4%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 32.7%
- Early-down success allowed
- 35.8%
- Third-down success allowed
- 20.0%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 4
AP #6
JT -1 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 57.7%
- Early-down success
- 57.6%
- Third-down success
- 53.7%
- Yards/play
- 8.63
- Explosive pass rate
- 17.0%
- Explosive rush rate
- 19.3%
- Sack allowed rate
- 1.0%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 33.8%
- Early-down success allowed
- 37.6%
- Third-down success allowed
- 24.6%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 4
AP #10
JT +2 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 47.7%
- Early-down success
- 43.3%
- Third-down success
- 61.3%
- Yards/play
- 6.47
- Explosive pass rate
- 15.8%
- Explosive rush rate
- 14.5%
- Sack allowed rate
- 5.8%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 29.6%
- Early-down success allowed
- 27.6%
- Third-down success allowed
- 36.9%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 4
AP #8
JT -1 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 49.5%
- Early-down success
- 49.5%
- Third-down success
- 44.0%
- Yards/play
- 6.61
- Explosive pass rate
- 15.2%
- Explosive rush rate
- 18.8%
- Sack allowed rate
- 6.8%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 33.7%
- Early-down success allowed
- 36.3%
- Third-down success allowed
- 23.8%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 4
AP #14
JT +4 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 51.9%
- Early-down success
- 51.9%
- Third-down success
- 47.5%
- Yards/play
- 7.39
- Explosive pass rate
- 11.0%
- Explosive rush rate
- 23.0%
- Sack allowed rate
- 3.9%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 38.1%
- Early-down success allowed
- 38.8%
- Third-down success allowed
- 39.7%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 4
AP #21
JT +10 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 50.3%
- Early-down success
- 49.2%
- Third-down success
- 46.3%
- Yards/play
- 8.10
- Explosive pass rate
- 20.1%
- Explosive rush rate
- 17.1%
- Sack allowed rate
- 3.9%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 36.4%
- Early-down success allowed
- 33.4%
- Third-down success allowed
- 41.3%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 4
AP #23
JT +11 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 46.1%
- Early-down success
- 46.0%
- Third-down success
- 42.6%
- Yards/play
- 5.10
- Explosive pass rate
- 4.9%
- Explosive rush rate
- 12.5%
- Sack allowed rate
- 4.1%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 35.2%
- Early-down success allowed
- 36.6%
- Third-down success allowed
- 25.5%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 4
AP #12
JT -1 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 56.1%
- Early-down success
- 55.0%
- Third-down success
- 61.5%
- Yards/play
- 7.21
- Explosive pass rate
- 15.4%
- Explosive rush rate
- 18.0%
- Sack allowed rate
- 2.1%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 41.6%
- Early-down success allowed
- 42.6%
- Third-down success allowed
- 38.1%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 4
AP #4
JT -10 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 51.7%
- Early-down success
- 50.6%
- Third-down success
- 43.1%
- Yards/play
- 6.49
- Explosive pass rate
- 9.6%
- Explosive rush rate
- 15.5%
- Sack allowed rate
- 2.3%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 41.8%
- Early-down success allowed
- 40.7%
- Third-down success allowed
- 42.9%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 4
AP #13
JT -2 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 46.9%
- Early-down success
- 48.0%
- Third-down success
- 40.0%
- Yards/play
- 7.52
- Explosive pass rate
- 22.2%
- Explosive rush rate
- 11.7%
- Sack allowed rate
- 3.6%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 30.6%
- Early-down success allowed
- 32.8%
- Third-down success allowed
- 18.9%
- Yards/play allowed
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 43.1%
- Early-down success
- 42.1%
- Third-down success
- 46.2%
- Yards/play
- 5.81
- Explosive pass rate
- 16.2%
- Explosive rush rate
- 9.5%
- Sack allowed rate
- 5.6%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 28.7%
- Early-down success allowed
- 29.8%
- Third-down success allowed
- 22.5%
- Yards/play allowed
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 45.9%
- Early-down success
- 44.1%
- Third-down success
- 49.5%
- Yards/play
- 6.12
- Explosive pass rate
- 13.3%
- Explosive rush rate
- 16.9%
- Sack allowed rate
- 10.5%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 39.6%
- Early-down success allowed
- 38.3%
- Third-down success allowed
- 40.1%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 4
AP #22
JT +4 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 51.9%
- Early-down success
- 52.8%
- Third-down success
- 47.6%
- Yards/play
- 8.24
- Explosive pass rate
- 16.8%
- Explosive rush rate
- 13.0%
- Sack allowed rate
- 2.8%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 38.4%
- Early-down success allowed
- 42.3%
- Third-down success allowed
- 19.5%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 4
AP #16
JT -3 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 52.5%
- Early-down success
- 54.2%
- Third-down success
- 45.4%
- Yards/play
- 8.00
- Explosive pass rate
- 18.1%
- Explosive rush rate
- 18.9%
- Sack allowed rate
- 3.1%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 39.0%
- Early-down success allowed
- 39.4%
- Third-down success allowed
- 33.3%
- Yards/play allowed
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 45.8%
- Early-down success
- 47.7%
- Third-down success
- 40.9%
- Yards/play
- 6.70
- Explosive pass rate
- 11.1%
- Explosive rush rate
- 13.0%
- Sack allowed rate
- 2.5%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 34.5%
- Early-down success allowed
- 35.8%
- Third-down success allowed
- 30.2%
- Yards/play allowed
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 54.2%
- Early-down success
- 49.6%
- Third-down success
- 68.9%
- Yards/play
- 7.38
- Explosive pass rate
- 11.2%
- Explosive rush rate
- 21.9%
- Sack allowed rate
- 0.0%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 27.4%
- Early-down success allowed
- 26.3%
- Third-down success allowed
- 29.4%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 4
AP #9
JT -13 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 60.6%
- Early-down success
- 59.8%
- Third-down success
- 64.0%
- Yards/play
- 8.17
- Explosive pass rate
- 19.5%
- Explosive rush rate
- 18.9%
- Sack allowed rate
- 2.7%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 38.6%
- Early-down success allowed
- 36.6%
- Third-down success allowed
- 46.2%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 4
AP #11
JT -12 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 47.2%
- Early-down success
- 45.7%
- Third-down success
- 51.8%
- Yards/play
- 6.10
- Explosive pass rate
- 12.3%
- Explosive rush rate
- 13.3%
- Sack allowed rate
- 6.2%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 37.0%
- Early-down success allowed
- 35.6%
- Third-down success allowed
- 42.2%
- Yards/play allowed
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 52.2%
- Early-down success
- 50.3%
- Third-down success
- 57.4%
- Yards/play
- 7.22
- Explosive pass rate
- 10.7%
- Explosive rush rate
- 18.9%
- Sack allowed rate
- 4.5%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 32.6%
- Early-down success allowed
- 31.3%
- Third-down success allowed
- 33.3%
- Yards/play allowed
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 42.5%
- Early-down success
- 41.4%
- Third-down success
- 42.5%
- Yards/play
- 5.76
- Explosive pass rate
- 12.2%
- Explosive rush rate
- 10.5%
- Sack allowed rate
- 5.2%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 29.8%
- Early-down success allowed
- 25.5%
- Third-down success allowed
- 42.9%
- Yards/play allowed
Explosive pass allowed7.8% Explosive rush allowed4.5% Style
- Pass rate
- 34.9%
- Early-down pass rate
- 29.2%
- Plays/drive
- 5.60
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 28.94
- Market Power
- 28.75
- Model Adjustment
- +0.19
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed7.6% Explosive rush allowed10.5% Style
- Pass rate
- 47.8%
- Early-down pass rate
- 41.6%
- Plays/drive
- 7.26
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 28.89
- Market Power
- 29.21
- Model Adjustment
- -0.32
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed7.9% Explosive rush allowed3.5% Style
- Pass rate
- 45.8%
- Early-down pass rate
- 44.9%
- Plays/drive
- 6.43
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 28.48
- Market Power
- 27.32
- Model Adjustment
- +1.16
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed4.1% Explosive rush allowed5.3% Style
- Pass rate
- 44.7%
- Early-down pass rate
- 41.6%
- Plays/drive
- 4.88
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 27.76
- Market Power
- 26.78
- Model Adjustment
- +0.98
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed11.1% Explosive rush allowed4.1% Style
- Pass rate
- 55.6%
- Early-down pass rate
- 49.7%
- Plays/drive
- 5.54
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 26.76
- Market Power
- 25.66
- Model Adjustment
- +1.10
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed4.5% Explosive rush allowed5.8% Style
- Pass rate
- 47.5%
- Early-down pass rate
- 44.9%
- Plays/drive
- 5.52
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 25.23
- Market Power
- 26.40
- Model Adjustment
- -1.17
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed11.4% Explosive rush allowed7.3% Style
- Pass rate
- 45.9%
- Early-down pass rate
- 41.6%
- Plays/drive
- 6.83
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 24.98
- Market Power
- 25.08
- Model Adjustment
- -0.10
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed20.5% Explosive rush allowed5.5% Style
- Pass rate
- 43.8%
- Early-down pass rate
- 40.5%
- Plays/drive
- 6.06
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 22.88
- Market Power
- 22.02
- Model Adjustment
- +0.85
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed2.6% Explosive rush allowed20.0% Style
- Pass rate
- 37.2%
- Early-down pass rate
- 37.9%
- Plays/drive
- 6.13
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 21.41
- Market Power
- 21.36
- Model Adjustment
- 0.00
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed7.6% Explosive rush allowed10.4% Style
- Pass rate
- 41.6%
- Early-down pass rate
- 40.7%
- Plays/drive
- 6.21
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 20.79
- Market Power
- 20.01
- Model Adjustment
- +0.77
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed16.1% Explosive rush allowed10.4% Style
- Pass rate
- 50.1%
- Early-down pass rate
- 50.2%
- Plays/drive
- 6.70
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 19.87
- Market Power
- 20.00
- Model Adjustment
- -0.14
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed10.9% Explosive rush allowed11.3% Style
- Pass rate
- 47.9%
- Early-down pass rate
- 45.1%
- Plays/drive
- 7.18
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 19.50
- Market Power
- 19.93
- Model Adjustment
- -0.43
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed14.1% Explosive rush allowed11.1% Style
- Pass rate
- 59.2%
- Early-down pass rate
- 57.6%
- Plays/drive
- 6.37
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 19.16
- Market Power
- 19.83
- Model Adjustment
- -0.67
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed1.5% Explosive rush allowed10.2% Style
- Pass rate
- 41.3%
- Early-down pass rate
- 37.1%
- Plays/drive
- 5.90
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 17.20
- Market Power
- 16.76
- Model Adjustment
- +0.44
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed7.3% Explosive rush allowed10.7% Style
- Pass rate
- 46.7%
- Early-down pass rate
- 40.1%
- Plays/drive
- 5.60
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 16.51
- Market Power
- 15.90
- Model Adjustment
- +0.60
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed13.8% Explosive rush allowed7.7% Style
- Pass rate
- 53.0%
- Early-down pass rate
- 49.8%
- Plays/drive
- 6.52
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 15.11
- Market Power
- 14.91
- Model Adjustment
- +0.20
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed8.5% Explosive rush allowed13.5% Style
- Pass rate
- 53.0%
- Early-down pass rate
- 49.1%
- Plays/drive
- 5.52
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 15.04
- Market Power
- 15.41
- Model Adjustment
- -0.37
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed7.5% Explosive rush allowed10.3% Style
- Pass rate
- 42.6%
- Early-down pass rate
- 41.4%
- Plays/drive
- 4.97
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 14.82
- Market Power
- 15.08
- Model Adjustment
- -0.27
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed7.1% Explosive rush allowed15.9% Style
- Pass rate
- 57.5%
- Early-down pass rate
- 56.4%
- Plays/drive
- 5.71
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 14.70
- Market Power
- 14.07
- Model Adjustment
- +0.63
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed3.8% Explosive rush allowed18.6% Style
- Pass rate
- 42.4%
- Early-down pass rate
- 39.6%
- Plays/drive
- 6.19
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 14.37
- Market Power
- 13.76
- Model Adjustment
- +0.61
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed6.4% Explosive rush allowed9.1% Style
- Pass rate
- 37.1%
- Early-down pass rate
- 36.2%
- Plays/drive
- 5.54
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 12.59
- Market Power
- 11.61
- Model Adjustment
- +0.98
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed5.0% Explosive rush allowed18.0% Style
- Pass rate
- 46.3%
- Early-down pass rate
- 42.7%
- Plays/drive
- 5.95
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 12.40
- Market Power
- 12.69
- Model Adjustment
- -0.29
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed10.3% Explosive rush allowed7.1% Style
- Pass rate
- 47.3%
- Early-down pass rate
- 42.5%
- Plays/drive
- 6.46
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 12.12
- Market Power
- 11.84
- Model Adjustment
- +0.27
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed7.5% Explosive rush allowed14.5% Style
- Pass rate
- 48.5%
- Early-down pass rate
- 42.7%
- Plays/drive
- 6.26
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 11.52
- Market Power
- 12.25
- Model Adjustment
- -0.73
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
