2026 · Canonical snapshots
JT POLL ARCHIVE
How JT's view of college football changed week by week.
Selected archive
Snapshot Entering Week 9
Movement compares with Week 8
Archived national board
Top 25
Rankings and team profiles are preserved from this canonical weekly publication. Movement reflects JT rank only.
Notre DameFBS Independents
Percentile
AP Poll · Week 9
AP #5
JT +4 vs AP
Offense
- Success rate
- 51.1%
- Early-down success
- 51.4%
- Third-down success
- 43.2%
- Yards/play
- 6.72
- Explosive pass rate
- 14.0%
- Explosive rush rate
- 9.2%
- Sack allowed rate
- 1.0%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 35.5%
- Early-down success allowed
- 33.1%
- Third-down success allowed
- 40.8%
- Yards/play allowed
- 4.59
- Explosive pass allowed
- 6.8%
- Explosive rush allowed
- 6.2%
- Sack generated
- 7.6%
Style
- Pass rate
- 45.8%
- Early-down pass rate
- 44.8%
- Plays/drive
- 6.35
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 28.20
- Market Power
- 28.54
- Model Adjustment
- -0.34
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
AP Poll · Week 9
AP #3
JT +1 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 51.9%
- Early-down success
- 50.7%
- Third-down success
- 56.5%
- Yards/play
- 7.66
- Explosive pass rate
- 15.1%
- Explosive rush rate
- 16.7%
- Sack allowed rate
- 4.1%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 35.8%
- Early-down success allowed
- 34.3%
- Third-down success allowed
- 38.6%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 9
AP #2
JT -1 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 49.6%
- Early-down success
- 49.3%
- Third-down success
- 44.5%
- Yards/play
- 7.19
- Explosive pass rate
- 17.6%
- Explosive rush rate
- 11.3%
- Sack allowed rate
- 6.8%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 33.7%
- Early-down success allowed
- 32.7%
- Third-down success allowed
- 38.0%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 9
AP #10
JT +6 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 47.0%
- Early-down success
- 47.0%
- Third-down success
- 44.0%
- Yards/play
- 6.66
- Explosive pass rate
- 16.5%
- Explosive rush rate
- 15.6%
- Sack allowed rate
- 9.2%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 37.6%
- Early-down success allowed
- 37.7%
- Third-down success allowed
- 34.9%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 9
AP #11
JT +6 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 42.8%
- Early-down success
- 43.8%
- Third-down success
- 37.2%
- Yards/play
- 5.70
- Explosive pass rate
- 9.0%
- Explosive rush rate
- 14.6%
- Sack allowed rate
- 9.3%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 34.7%
- Early-down success allowed
- 35.0%
- Third-down success allowed
- 31.9%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 9
AP #1
JT -5 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 52.9%
- Early-down success
- 52.5%
- Third-down success
- 53.2%
- Yards/play
- 7.85
- Explosive pass rate
- 16.7%
- Explosive rush rate
- 17.0%
- Sack allowed rate
- 4.1%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 34.9%
- Early-down success allowed
- 35.6%
- Third-down success allowed
- 34.3%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 9
AP #15
JT +8 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 51.0%
- Early-down success
- 49.2%
- Third-down success
- 54.1%
- Yards/play
- 6.62
- Explosive pass rate
- 11.7%
- Explosive rush rate
- 14.5%
- Sack allowed rate
- 4.1%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 34.7%
- Early-down success allowed
- 35.5%
- Third-down success allowed
- 33.4%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 9
AP #4
JT -4 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 45.5%
- Early-down success
- 45.3%
- Third-down success
- 43.9%
- Yards/play
- 7.15
- Explosive pass rate
- 16.9%
- Explosive rush rate
- 15.3%
- Sack allowed rate
- 5.5%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 33.2%
- Early-down success allowed
- 32.0%
- Third-down success allowed
- 34.1%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 9
AP #12
JT +3 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 50.1%
- Early-down success
- 50.0%
- Third-down success
- 43.5%
- Yards/play
- 6.26
- Explosive pass rate
- 8.7%
- Explosive rush rate
- 15.5%
- Sack allowed rate
- 2.1%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 41.8%
- Early-down success allowed
- 41.0%
- Third-down success allowed
- 44.2%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 9
AP #17
JT +7 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 46.8%
- Early-down success
- 45.8%
- Third-down success
- 46.9%
- Yards/play
- 6.47
- Explosive pass rate
- 13.1%
- Explosive rush rate
- 13.9%
- Sack allowed rate
- 4.2%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 42.2%
- Early-down success allowed
- 41.5%
- Third-down success allowed
- 42.4%
- Yards/play allowed
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 50.8%
- Early-down success
- 49.9%
- Third-down success
- 50.5%
- Yards/play
- 6.36
- Explosive pass rate
- 12.9%
- Explosive rush rate
- 13.9%
- Sack allowed rate
- 3.4%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 41.7%
- Early-down success allowed
- 41.8%
- Third-down success allowed
- 35.7%
- Yards/play allowed
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 42.2%
- Early-down success
- 43.6%
- Third-down success
- 36.5%
- Yards/play
- 5.81
- Explosive pass rate
- 11.2%
- Explosive rush rate
- 12.2%
- Sack allowed rate
- 4.2%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 34.0%
- Early-down success allowed
- 34.7%
- Third-down success allowed
- 27.8%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 9
AP #23
JT +10 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 40.3%
- Early-down success
- 39.6%
- Third-down success
- 43.1%
- Yards/play
- 6.28
- Explosive pass rate
- 14.6%
- Explosive rush rate
- 12.0%
- Sack allowed rate
- 2.6%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 36.8%
- Early-down success allowed
- 36.0%
- Third-down success allowed
- 37.4%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 9
AP #13
JT -1 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 48.3%
- Early-down success
- 49.6%
- Third-down success
- 40.2%
- Yards/play
- 6.21
- Explosive pass rate
- 9.3%
- Explosive rush rate
- 18.6%
- Sack allowed rate
- 5.5%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 39.9%
- Early-down success allowed
- 40.3%
- Third-down success allowed
- 39.4%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 9
AP #16
JT +1 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 45.9%
- Early-down success
- 46.4%
- Third-down success
- 39.6%
- Yards/play
- 5.88
- Explosive pass rate
- 8.3%
- Explosive rush rate
- 16.6%
- Sack allowed rate
- 8.0%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 38.7%
- Early-down success allowed
- 41.0%
- Third-down success allowed
- 32.0%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 9
AP #8
JT -8 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 50.1%
- Early-down success
- 48.6%
- Third-down success
- 56.5%
- Yards/play
- 6.74
- Explosive pass rate
- 13.7%
- Explosive rush rate
- 13.7%
- Sack allowed rate
- 2.2%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 38.9%
- Early-down success allowed
- 37.6%
- Third-down success allowed
- 40.8%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 9
AP #6
JT -11 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 50.3%
- Early-down success
- 49.5%
- Third-down success
- 53.4%
- Yards/play
- 6.93
- Explosive pass rate
- 12.7%
- Explosive rush rate
- 18.8%
- Sack allowed rate
- 4.1%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 34.6%
- Early-down success allowed
- 34.6%
- Third-down success allowed
- 34.0%
- Yards/play allowed
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 39.2%
- Early-down success
- 38.5%
- Third-down success
- 39.5%
- Yards/play
- 5.57
- Explosive pass rate
- 13.2%
- Explosive rush rate
- 7.2%
- Sack allowed rate
- 7.1%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 34.1%
- Early-down success allowed
- 35.7%
- Third-down success allowed
- 24.7%
- Yards/play allowed
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 40.0%
- Early-down success
- 39.2%
- Third-down success
- 39.3%
- Yards/play
- 5.09
- Explosive pass rate
- 8.0%
- Explosive rush rate
- 8.7%
- Sack allowed rate
- 7.2%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 34.7%
- Early-down success allowed
- 34.4%
- Third-down success allowed
- 33.7%
- Yards/play allowed
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 42.7%
- Early-down success
- 42.0%
- Third-down success
- 43.7%
- Yards/play
- 5.28
- Explosive pass rate
- 7.5%
- Explosive rush rate
- 12.9%
- Sack allowed rate
- 5.6%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 37.6%
- Early-down success allowed
- 38.7%
- Third-down success allowed
- 32.3%
- Yards/play allowed
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 46.7%
- Early-down success
- 45.7%
- Third-down success
- 48.8%
- Yards/play
- 6.39
- Explosive pass rate
- 9.2%
- Explosive rush rate
- 16.6%
- Sack allowed rate
- 5.8%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 41.3%
- Early-down success allowed
- 41.2%
- Third-down success allowed
- 37.4%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 9
AP #24
JT +2 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 51.7%
- Early-down success
- 53.7%
- Third-down success
- 40.4%
- Yards/play
- 7.61
- Explosive pass rate
- 18.9%
- Explosive rush rate
- 16.3%
- Sack allowed rate
- 3.0%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 41.7%
- Early-down success allowed
- 43.0%
- Third-down success allowed
- 36.0%
- Yards/play allowed
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 49.1%
- Early-down success
- 50.3%
- Third-down success
- 45.4%
- Yards/play
- 7.78
- Explosive pass rate
- 17.4%
- Explosive rush rate
- 19.6%
- Sack allowed rate
- 6.4%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 41.2%
- Early-down success allowed
- 42.1%
- Third-down success allowed
- 33.6%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 9
AP #22
JT -2 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 50.0%
- Early-down success
- 48.2%
- Third-down success
- 55.5%
- Yards/play
- 7.15
- Explosive pass rate
- 14.6%
- Explosive rush rate
- 17.2%
- Sack allowed rate
- 6.5%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 34.0%
- Early-down success allowed
- 32.7%
- Third-down success allowed
- 37.1%
- Yards/play allowed
AP Poll · Week 9
AP #20
JT -5 vs AP
Team Breakdown+
Offense
- Success rate
- 49.0%
- Early-down success
- 49.0%
- Third-down success
- 47.1%
- Yards/play
- 6.97
- Explosive pass rate
- 14.7%
- Explosive rush rate
- 19.1%
- Sack allowed rate
- 7.6%
Defense
- Success allowed
- 42.4%
- Early-down success allowed
- 42.8%
- Third-down success allowed
- 38.1%
- Yards/play allowed
Explosive pass allowed7.0% Explosive rush allowed9.2% Style
- Pass rate
- 47.8%
- Early-down pass rate
- 43.5%
- Plays/drive
- 5.32
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 27.94
- Market Power
- 27.94
- Model Adjustment
- 0.00
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed4.9% Explosive rush allowed8.3% Style
- Pass rate
- 47.4%
- Early-down pass rate
- 44.4%
- Plays/drive
- 6.12
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 26.22
- Market Power
- 26.88
- Model Adjustment
- -0.66
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed14.2% Explosive rush allowed8.7% Style
- Pass rate
- 50.6%
- Early-down pass rate
- 46.1%
- Plays/drive
- 5.61
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 24.96
- Market Power
- 24.82
- Model Adjustment
- +0.14
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed5.1% Explosive rush allowed9.9% Style
- Pass rate
- 48.5%
- Early-down pass rate
- 45.1%
- Plays/drive
- 5.70
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 24.69
- Market Power
- 25.39
- Model Adjustment
- -0.70
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed10.1% Explosive rush allowed7.7% Style
- Pass rate
- 48.7%
- Early-down pass rate
- 44.8%
- Plays/drive
- 5.85
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 22.51
- Market Power
- 23.59
- Model Adjustment
- -1.08
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed8.5% Explosive rush allowed11.2% Style
- Pass rate
- 49.8%
- Early-down pass rate
- 47.1%
- Plays/drive
- 6.72
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 22.48
- Market Power
- 22.50
- Model Adjustment
- 0.00
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed9.8% Explosive rush allowed7.1% Style
- Pass rate
- 42.9%
- Early-down pass rate
- 36.7%
- Plays/drive
- 5.44
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 22.32
- Market Power
- 23.15
- Model Adjustment
- -0.83
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed12.8% Explosive rush allowed10.6% Style
- Pass rate
- 56.8%
- Early-down pass rate
- 55.3%
- Plays/drive
- 5.83
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 20.39
- Market Power
- 21.67
- Model Adjustment
- -1.28
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed10.0% Explosive rush allowed11.4% Style
- Pass rate
- 45.6%
- Early-down pass rate
- 42.5%
- Plays/drive
- 6.17
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 17.77
- Market Power
- 17.75
- Model Adjustment
- 0.00
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed10.5% Explosive rush allowed10.1% Style
- Pass rate
- 53.7%
- Early-down pass rate
- 51.2%
- Plays/drive
- 7.25
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 17.22
- Market Power
- 16.49
- Model Adjustment
- +0.72
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed10.9% Explosive rush allowed8.4% Style
- Pass rate
- 55.1%
- Early-down pass rate
- 50.4%
- Plays/drive
- 5.44
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 16.46
- Market Power
- 15.68
- Model Adjustment
- +0.78
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed9.1% Explosive rush allowed12.8% Style
- Pass rate
- 48.1%
- Early-down pass rate
- 39.8%
- Plays/drive
- 5.43
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 16.04
- Market Power
- 15.58
- Model Adjustment
- +0.46
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed7.3% Explosive rush allowed16.2% Style
- Pass rate
- 46.9%
- Early-down pass rate
- 45.6%
- Plays/drive
- 5.65
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 15.51
- Market Power
- 15.64
- Model Adjustment
- -0.13
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed6.1% Explosive rush allowed17.8% Style
- Pass rate
- 40.5%
- Early-down pass rate
- 40.0%
- Plays/drive
- 5.85
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 15.05
- Market Power
- 14.83
- Model Adjustment
- +0.23
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed7.0% Explosive rush allowed11.5% Style
- Pass rate
- 43.5%
- Early-down pass rate
- 41.7%
- Plays/drive
- 5.74
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 15.04
- Market Power
- 15.07
- Model Adjustment
- 0.00
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed8.9% Explosive rush allowed11.4% Style
- Pass rate
- 46.1%
- Early-down pass rate
- 45.0%
- Plays/drive
- 5.97
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 14.88
- Market Power
- 15.07
- Model Adjustment
- -0.19
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed8.5% Explosive rush allowed11.9% Style
- Pass rate
- 50.3%
- Early-down pass rate
- 44.9%
- Plays/drive
- 5.49
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 14.51
- Market Power
- 14.67
- Model Adjustment
- -0.16
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed8.5% Explosive rush allowed6.4% Style
- Pass rate
- 42.9%
- Early-down pass rate
- 39.2%
- Plays/drive
- 5.46
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 14.38
- Market Power
- 14.07
- Model Adjustment
- +0.31
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed14.3% Explosive rush allowed12.5% Style
- Pass rate
- 46.9%
- Early-down pass rate
- 46.0%
- Plays/drive
- 6.13
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 14.34
- Market Power
- 14.37
- Model Adjustment
- 0.00
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed11.0% Explosive rush allowed9.5% Style
- Pass rate
- 50.1%
- Early-down pass rate
- 47.7%
- Plays/drive
- 6.07
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 13.81
- Market Power
- 13.65
- Model Adjustment
- +0.16
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed14.9% Explosive rush allowed7.9% Style
- Pass rate
- 50.3%
- Early-down pass rate
- 48.4%
- Plays/drive
- 6.14
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 13.11
- Market Power
- 12.49
- Model Adjustment
- +0.62
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed10.2% Explosive rush allowed9.5% Style
- Pass rate
- 45.1%
- Early-down pass rate
- 42.8%
- Plays/drive
- 5.05
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 12.70
- Market Power
- 12.78
- Model Adjustment
- -0.08
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed9.9% Explosive rush allowed12.2% Style
- Pass rate
- 54.1%
- Early-down pass rate
- 50.6%
- Plays/drive
- 6.04
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 12.41
- Market Power
- 12.13
- Model Adjustment
- +0.28
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
Explosive pass allowed7.6% Explosive rush allowed13.6% Style
- Pass rate
- 41.9%
- Early-down pass rate
- 39.0%
- Plays/drive
- 5.82
Model Details
- JT Rating
- 12.34
- Market Power
- 12.42
- Model Adjustment
- -0.07
Model Adjustment shows how much the team's current underlying performance profile moves its rating above or below the market-power baseline.
